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The latest from LegacyJournal.info as of:        Sunday, 2008-09-07
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[ Saturday, February 16, 2008 08:23 ]

Legacy Journal:Weather Futures

Section:
Environment

Summary:
* Apparently, there is uncertainty and market risk in the weather. Using the Chicago Exchange, snow shovel manufacturers are able to hedge their inventory by purchasing a form of insurance called a weather future. Business is reported to be brisk.

Meanwhile, snow and cold continues across the county.

* The flag at the local Mormon gathering place is still a half mast with the passing of the LDS leader.

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Posted by: webscribe2 on 02/16 at 08:23 AM
Calendar: • Saturday: • Climate: • Climate Control: • Finance: • History and Heritage: • IT3 Tech: • Internet Tech: • Google: • Calendar: • New York: • Towns: • Religion: • Christian: • Weather Watch: • (0) Comments: • (0) Trackbacks: • Permalink:

[ Tuesday, January 15, 2008 13:32 ]

Legacy Journal: Polls, Surveys and Statistics; Lip-Synching; the Persian Gulf

Section:
News: International

Summary:
“Facts are stubborn things, but statistics are more pliable.” --- Mark Twain

* The average American does not trust polls or pollsters, they do not like phone calls at mealtime from bucket shop mills conducting survey, and they are wary of statistics and models when they proport to predicate the future of complex events like life span any particular aging person, national economies, climate.

A Middlebury College Physics professor, in part of a Video Course on using science to reconstruct, model or simulate the earth’s temperature record over the past 4.6 billion years, was unable to give one example of how the proxy studies of tree rings or oxygen isotopes are yielding reliable and verifiable temperature data today.

* Bush in the U.A.Es and Saudi Arabia is flying the flag and promoting two bedrock keystones of American Foreign Policy since WW II, the containment of nuclear weapons and flow of oil out of the Persian Gulf.

Main:
: The Pew Trust does some good work. Eileen Clausen is their geocrat director of their Center on Global Climate Change.

:: the winter OLLI series at Osher RIT includes an offering taught by Tim McDonnell titled Amazing Life of Earth. He is funny, fast paced, and fact based. His experience as a presenter is evident. He has no notes, his Power Point slides have a point, and his handouts are clear and concise. Good stuff. A follow on “science class” on Global Warming was a less successful effort to “ lip-synch” the IPPC and Al Gore.

::: Meanwhile, the good news is that at least one F-16 Falcon U.S. pilot, a Persian Gulf pro, will be back in country in time to do some serious snow skiing in the Rockies. Way to go Major!

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Posted by: webscribe2 on 01/15 at 01:32 PM
Calendar: • Tuesday: • Climate: • Climate Control: • Energy: • Nuclear Power: • Oil: • Features: • Graphic: • Photo: • Quotes: • IT3 Tech: • Information Tech: • Complex System Modelling: • Instructional Tech: • Science: • Science and Technology: • Natural Sciences: • Physical Sciences: • Show and Tell: • Snow Flakes: • Statistics: • Targets: • Hard Targets: • Voice: • Lip-Synching: • Warrior: • (0) Comments: • (0) Trackbacks: • Permalink:

[ Wednesday, January 09, 2008 06:41 ]

Legacy Journal: Minority Report: Polls, Elections, and Climate Policy

Section:
Commentary

Summary:
* Today, we again learn from New Hampshire that political polls are poor forecasts of election results. Why? Clearly many polls are badly done, many at intended to influence the results, and many voters and consumers disconnect their thoughts, from their verbal reports, and from their actions. The easy analysis is that Granite state voters are independent and make there decisions in the secrecy of the voting booth.

It is not widely reported, but Mitt Romney corralled one third of the New Hampshire Republican vote in a five candidate field led by a maverick hero. That is not a loss. The contest moves on.

* Bjorn Lomborg , the climate change maverick from Denmark is interviewed in the Canadian press. His analysis is worth reading.

Main:
* The national presidential campaign is a marathon race. The 71 year old McCain is impressive, but youth must be put into service in the international area.

Put the pollsters and pundits on the sidelines.

* Meanwhile, Lomborg , a young and thoughtful social scientist, is not pandering to backyard gardeners when is come to policy. He is numbers and data focused.

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Posted by: webscribe2 on 01/09 at 06:41 AM
Black and White: • Burden of Proof: • Calendar: • Wednesday: • Chances are ---: • Cause & Effect: • Climate: • Climate Change: • Climate Control: • Forecasting: • Conventional Wisdom: • Data: • Numbers: • Fact vs Fiction: • Features: • Permalinks: • Q & A: • Herd Mentality: • Language: • Spin: • Leading Indicators: • Synthetic: • Media Watch: • Print Journalism: • News: • Regional: • Personalities: • Political Watch: • Polls & Preferences: • PostMorteum: • Tall Tales: • Exaggerations: • Voice: • Chatter Box: • Hired Guns: • Punditry: • Reactions: • Zinger: • Weasel Words: • Worrisome: • Word Play: • Young at Heart: • (0) Comments: • (0) Trackbacks: • Permalink:

[ Friday, December 21, 2007 12:11 ]

Legacy Journal: The Russian Bear Facts, Competing California Style, and Romney Substance.

Section:
News: International

Summary:
“Beware of the Russian Bear! “—Winston Churchill.

Question: ? What country led the world in petroleum product exports before the beginning of the 20th century? Who was Karl Popper?

* Time Magazine has name Russian turnaround artist, Vladamir Putin, as its Man of the Year. It is widely assumed that he was the compromise choice. Al Gore was a runner-up. General Petrais, the architect of successful miliary the Surge Strategy in Iraq was an also ran. Putin is portrayed as news worthy, smart in his marathon interviews, fearless, feisty, a pragmatic and proud nationalist, and combative at the age of 56. Gore come across as --- well more concerned about a global human population that quadrupled in the past 100 years and is now collectively overheating the planet. Meanwhile, Putin is putting cash in the cribs of new Russian citizens, building a fleet to ply ice free summer sea lanes in the Arctic Ocean, negociating gas pipe lines out of largely Muslim states of the former USSR, signing uranium deals with Australia, visiting Indonesia, working with neighboring Iran, working strategically for access pipeline and shipping access to warm water ports across a dozen time zones. Worry about AGW? Bring it on. Alcohol as a Fuel? Foolish. Putin is blunt, quick, and on his game—winning were and when it matter for Russians.

Barbara Boxer (D) Senator CA,, Chairperson, Committee on the Environment and Public Works responded angrily on the PBS News Hour to the EPA’s refusal to grant its 51st exemption request and waive federal law and allow California to continue authoring its own standards for tailpipe exhaust pollution.

* The Charlie Gibson ABC Evening News interview with candidate Mitt Romney was generally well received. With Tancreto of Colorado dropping out of the race, Romney has now begun the first in what may be a slow and long series of former candidate endorsements. The last man standing at the time of the Republican National Convention will be progressing in the national polls and in the song book of the media chorus. Will that be the case when the last woman standing is crowned with a Stetson at the Democratic National Convention in Denver?

Main:
: Putin is diminutive, a fitness buf, and a Judo expert.

:: Senator Boxer is diminutive, aggressive, and supported by the nytimes Opinion Page Editorial writers. Arrogance and Warming is today, characterization of the issue. Who has this one right. Gore? Boxer? the nytimes? Putin? It depends on your point of view. If you are Russian, you have already place your short term bet, your future security, and your place in history on realpolitic men like Putin.

::: Meanwhile, Mitt Romney is in a classic turnaround position. Time, momentum, vigor, experience and teamwork are on his side. Witness the Jon Huntsman
Holiday giving factor. Once again, insular, arrogance and myopic views of the world is not limited to one individual, one group or one institution. The evidence: an ad hominem, anti-endorsement attack on candidate Romney in the Editorial Pages of a Concord, NH paper.

Answer: Russia. No, we are not smarter than a 5th grader, but Popper was wise in the ways of Science.

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Footnotes:

Posted by: webscribe2 on 12/21 at 12:11 PM
Alerts: • Biography: • Calendar: • Friday: • Climate: • Climate Control: • Climate Police: • Courage: • Culture Clash: • Demographics: • Aging: • Energy: • Features: • Quotes: • Fitness: • IT3 Tech: • Internet Tech: • Google: • Calendar: • Media Watch: • Print Journalism: • Editorial Boards: • News: • Global: • Political Watch: • Polls & Preferences: • Predictions: • Promise Keepers: • Religion: • Islam: • Snow Flakes: • Sustainability: • Winter Watch: • Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow: • Young at Heart: • Dollars and Cents: • Dooms Day: • (0) Comments: • (0) Trackbacks: • Permalink:

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