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[ Wednesday, January 09, 2008 06:41 ]

Legacy Journal: Minority Report: Polls, Elections, and Climate Policy

Section:
Commentary

Summary:
* Today, we again learn from New Hampshire that political polls are poor forecasts of election results. Why? Clearly many polls are badly done, many at intended to influence the results, and many voters and consumers disconnect their thoughts, from their verbal reports, and from their actions. The easy analysis is that Granite state voters are independent and make there decisions in the secrecy of the voting booth.

It is not widely reported, but Mitt Romney corralled one third of the New Hampshire Republican vote in a five candidate field led by a maverick hero. That is not a loss. The contest moves on.

* Bjorn Lomborg , the climate change maverick from Denmark is interviewed in the Canadian press. His analysis is worth reading.

Main:
* The national presidential campaign is a marathon race. The 71 year old McCain is impressive, but youth must be put into service in the international area.

Put the pollsters and pundits on the sidelines.

* Meanwhile, Lomborg , a young and thoughtful social scientist, is not pandering to backyard gardeners when is come to policy. He is numbers and data focused.

More:

Footnotes:

Posted by: webscribe2 on 01/09 at 06:41 AM
Black and White: • Burden of Proof: • Calendar: • Wednesday: • Chances are ---: • Cause & Effect: • Climate: • Climate Change: • Climate Control: • Forecasting: • Conventional Wisdom: • Data: • Numbers: • Fact vs Fiction: • Features: • Permalinks: • Q & A: • Herd Mentality: • Language: • Spin: • Leading Indicators: • Synthetic: • Media Watch: • Print Journalism: • News: • Regional: • Personalities: • Political Watch: • Polls & Preferences: • PostMorteum: • Tall Tales: • Exaggerations: • Voice: • Chatter Box: • Hired Guns: • Punditry: • Reactions: • Zinger: • Weasel Words: • Worrisome: • Word Play: • Young at Heart: • (0) Comments: • (0) Trackbacks: • Permalink:

[ Wednesday, December 19, 2007 09:46 ]

Legacy Journal: Midweek Movers

Section:
Environment

Summary:
Science and Policy Clash in the Political Area. Designing the Future, circa 2020

* Bali is over and at the nytimes, Friedman is perplexed, Rivkin is skeptical, and U.N.Secretary General Moon is reportedly off to campaign for the Universal Human Right not to face capital punishment. The administration representative put on a late in the fourth quarter full court press with an impressive Power Point presentation. Smart and quick, Coach Wooden would have been impressed. Many of the goals are aimed at 2020.

Congress and the Bush Administration have come together to sign the Energy Bill. Mileage mandates, exemptions, and ethanol $ubsidies abound. The goals are for 2020

* The PBS New Hour revisited Oregon and more than 10 years of spotted owl old growth fir forest habitat sanctuary policy begun by the Clinton Administration, championed by VP Al Gore, and administered in the National Forest lands in the Cascades by federal Fish and Games wildlife biologists. The set asides are 7000 acre per bird. The predatory barred owl species has moved in and is out competing their cousins for space and food. Flexible policy into the year 2020 has resulted in lawyerly dueling between administration policy makers and professional politicians.

Main:
So

More:

Footnotes:

Posted by: webscribe2 on 12/19 at 09:46 AM
Calendar: • Wednesday: • Chances are ---: • Cause & Effect: • Climate: • Climate Noise: • Energy: • Environment: • Envirotech: • Execucrat: • Features: • Quotes: • Headliners: • Herd Mentality: • IT3 Tech: • Internet Tech: • Google: • Calendar: • Media Watch: • News: • Global: • Regional: • Science: • Science and Technology: • Natural Sciences: • Biology: • Update: • Wilderness: • Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow: • Bluster: • (0) Comments: • (0) Trackbacks: • Permalink:

[ Sunday, December 16, 2007 07:22 ]

Legacy Journal: Sunday Views and Snooze from Rochester

Section:
Editorial

Summary:
“The perfect bureaucrat everywhere is the man who manages to make no decisions and escape all responsibility.” ---- Brooks Atkinson

Q?: Who is credited with the line, “Follow the money.” ? What Ivy League college did Bob Woodward graduate?

* The Editorial Room: Sea Change: The Redford-Woodward “All the President’s Men” the investigative reporter political docu_drama film view of Washington Post D.C circa 1970’s view plays out against the Reality at today’s Des Moines Register in Omaha, Nebraska.

Hanna Montana beats the winter snow storm in Rochester, NY.

* The Tom Friedman’s predictable view from Bali.

Main:
: In the movie version set in the newsroom of the Washington Post, Ben Bradley and the hard core guys run the Editorial show with the “Graham family” in the silent background of the party circuit. Today, the six members of the Des Moines Register Editorial Board have endorsed candidate Hillary after rounds of paper sponsored polls, candidate interviews, lunches with beverages included, and “exhausting” closed door deliberations. In the end, the women ruled.

:: In upstate western NY, the snow storm has threatened to cancel Sunday Services, Monday schools, and this evenings Hanna Montana. Place your bets. Hanna will perform to a packed house and the Bills will play in Cleveland.

::: Meanwhile, Tom Friedman dispatches his column from Bali. Again he uses an unnamed report in Science to make is shopworn Sierra Club and Carl Pope “Now or Never” Dooms Day 20xO forecast. It is an old story with a few updates. The old story is the AGW is the result of ignorance, greed, consumption, and uncontrolled human population growth. The new lines are now green: the rain forests of Central Africa Brazil , Indonesia, New Guinea, and SE mainland Asia can help save species, prevent island flooding, and sequester dangerous polluting carbon dioxide. In the end, it warmed over eco stylized Green Gush.

The good news is that citizen fact checkers are compiling real-time lists of factual errors that are perpetuated in print and some well known modern day docu_dramas.

One example http://www.ecoworld.com/home/articles2.cfm?tid=446 has a list of 35 errors, including nine that were included in a British magistrate’s ruling that prevented the free distribution of Gore’s An Inconvenient Truth” to kid’s classrooms in England.

A: William Goldman, film script writer for All the President’s Men. The line was spoken by actor Hal Holbrook who played the part of FBI agent, and “ Deep Throat” source Mark Felt. Woodward, who’s father was a longtime attorney and judge in Illinois , attended Yale on an NROTC scholarship. He was a member of the Phi Delta Theta social fraternity. Today, he seems to favor Navy and Yale blue in wool as his personal clothing choices. Robert Redford’s movie character wore a more plebian and workman-like coarse tan corduroy suit and open tie at the neck. Ernest, wide eyed, hard working, idealistic, but unwise in the ways and players of Washington, D. C. he is the personification of the All American, Stover. On the other hand Woodward had served Naval Officer duty on the staff of the Chairman of the Joint Chief of Staff. During that time, he met and remembered attorney Mark Felt, an experienced field officer and a senior G-man at J. Edgar Hoover’s fiefdom, the FBI.

More:

Footnotes:

Posted by: webscribe2 on 12/16 at 07:22 AM
Calendar: • Sunday: • Climate: • Climate Chaos: • Climate Police: • Environment: • Advocacy: • Movements: • Policy: • Studies: • Features: • Quotes: • Q & A: • Ghost Writing: • Going Green: • Herd Mentality: • Hot and Cold: • Language: • Spin: • Greenwash: • Magic,Miracles, & Mystical: • Disappearing Act: • New York: • Cities: • Villages: • News: • Good News: • Perpetual Green: • Political Watch: • Polls & Preferences: • Really? A Reality Check: • Sale vs No Sale: • US vs Them: • (0) Comments: • (0) Trackbacks: • Permalink:

[ Saturday, December 08, 2007 11:56 ]

Legacy Journal: The Path from Oslo, Norway to Bali

Section:
Climate Change

Summary:
Al Gore has arrived in Oslo to accept his Nobel Peace Prize Monday on behalf of himself and the 3,000 CO-recipients on the various IPCC working groups . He will be then fly to Bali to join them and an estimated 7,000 others. Among the others is Eileen Claussen, President of the Pew Center on Global Climate Change. She but one example of a Washington, D.C. based execucrat who has been on a long career government, NGO, NPO career path. We note that the weather forecasts for Oslo and Rochester, NY are similar: Light snow, Low of 25, High of 32.

Main:
The Gore flight to Bali will be over oceans, rain forests and land masses. All are massive sources of carbon sequestration. They, and their massive biota, are the major “sinks” in the earth’s dynamic carbon cycle. On example is a single Antarctic krill species . The world’s ocean waters also store massive amounts of carbon dioxide in a variety of forms. The rain forests of Sumatra, Indonesia are a third example of active carbon sequestration by trees using the time honored and trusted method of low tech photosynthesis.

Questions:

* Who is going to pay the pending carbon sequestration bills submitted to developed nations in the Northern Hemisphere by Indonesia, Brazil, Zaire, and others?

* Who has the carbon sequestration rights to the Antarctic Seas and the Southern Ocean?

* What is the latest count on the world’s total krill, ant, beetle and termite biomass?

Answer:

Dah. The truth is we do now know. Nor do the execucrats and experts working out of Washington, D.C., New York City, Princeton, and Palo Alto.

So, where are Nancy Pelosi (http://www.speaker.gov) and Barbara Boxer (” the debate on global green house gas is over” ) this week when we really need them for quikie, if not quirkie, answers to pressing problems ?

More:

Footnotes:

Posted by: webscribe2 on 12/08 at 11:56 AM
Calendar: • Saturday: • Culture Clash: • Earth Sciences:: • Energy: • Environment: • Policy: • Essential Element: • Execucrat: • Fast Facts: • How Many?: • Where?: • Going Green: • Herd Mentality: • IT3 Tech: • Internet Tech: • Google: • Calendar: • Nature: • News: • Good News: • Personalities: • Political Watch: • Washington Watch: • Weather Watch: • Climate Change: • Climate Chaos: • (0) Comments: • (0) Trackbacks: • Permalink:

[ Tuesday, November 09, 2004 10:39 ]

The Polar Express Arctic Meltdown: A Hot topic in a Frigid Region.

Section:
Science and Technology

Summary:
Global warming is the answer to many serious and most rhetorical questions about Environment cause and effect . The Greenhouse Effect is clear and concrete metaphor. Melting Arctic Ocean sea ice and permafrost thaw are the symptoms. Industrial CO2 emissions from the tailpipe and the smokestack is the cause. The cure is global policy like the Kyoto Protocol recently endorsed by V. Putin and the Russian Duma. The National Geographic, its writers and photographers are now the science journal of record for many popular culture readers and mass media reporters .

Recently, sea ice and glaciers in the western Arctic have been the subject of mass media reporting including a PBS aboard ship visit to a US Coast Guard Icebreaker with a 40 scientist research team sampling the local CO2 cycle.. Other reports have include a scare yout pants off segment by ABC’s northlands expert, Canadian born, New York based anchorman, Peter Jennings. Today, the Cal Aggie carried a News piece by Mike Toner, of the Cox News Service on the early news from a gathering of 300 scientists who are attending an International symposium in Reykjavik. Iceland. The headline grabbing projections are for massive Global consequences of an incompletely studied, poorly documented and barely understood region and complex natural system.

It should be noted that the Polar region and most of the Arctic Ocean is now in near total sub-zero. That inhospitable condition will continue of five months without interruption. The great whales have long deported for Maui, the terns are well on their way to Antarctica, the caribou herds have vacated the North Slope, the summer scientists have returned to their winter abodes well to the south. Is this the picture that Heart landers in the Sacramento Valley are getting from the National Geographic?

No, the picture is one of a well lighted, poster-child, polar bear “stranded” on a wafer of floating sea ice. Quick ,send money to save or study the plight of the poor creature.

Main:

* Perhaps the career and comments of a widely quoted and respected member of the academic elite class, population crusader, Garrett Hardin is worthy of review.

* Vaclav Smil as written an obiturary in the American Scientist, published the Sigma Xi. Hardin, the father of four, was a vigorous supporter of Planned Parenthood, author of the Commons Carrying Capacity argument of limiting population growth and migration( physical and cultural overloads are his twin themes. His was also a CO-founder of the American Eugenics Society, a member of the Universalist - Unitarian Church, and a member of the Hemlock Society. He retired from his academic post at the University of California,Santa Barbara in 1978. Born in Dallas into a branch of the outlaw Hardin clan of Texas, he trained at biology at the University of Chicago where he was a Phi Beta Kappa. His PhD was from Stanford. He is the author of popular works on population studies including The Tragedy of the Commons.

* Like his kindred spirit Paul Erhlich, Hardin and elite leaders united under the Club of Rome flag , have long been making long term projections of the logically inevitability of the global collapse of complex social and natural systems because of destructive individual self interest, massive demographic trends and population induced environmental degradation. They are true believers in the Church of Malthus. What he and others did not see was the dramatic demographic shift in the status of women in consumer based first, second and third world societies. Plus, we are now witnessing the ability of 1.3 billion mainland Chinese to feed themselves and to export quality goods and services to the West. No trend lasts forever, not ever human populations.

* Likewise, what the Global Warming Earth Science community has not done is present a comprehensive and integrated picture of how global energy flows, CO2 cycles, Oceans and Earth orbits and tilts explain well known natural phenomena like variable ocean currents, different temperature trends in Eastern Canada Vs Western Alaska, a fluctuating Arctic Ozone effect, the effect of tundra fires in Arctic Siberia, etc.

See the positive Julian Simon inspired. Ecology Bootcamp fired Arctic Ocean MultiMedia Presentation.

More:

Footnotes:

Posted by: eegotoguy on 11/09 at 10:39 AM
Boot Camp: • Burden of Proof: • Chances are ---: • Cause & Effect: • Changing Course: • Chronicles: • Climate: • Forecasting: • Global Warming: • Conventional Wisdom: • Culture Clash: • High Brow: • Earth Sciences:: • Environment: • Advocacy: • Features: • Graphic: • Permalinks: • Herd Mentality: • Language: • Rhetoric: • Metaphors: • Life Support: • Obituary Notes: • Religion: • Sustainability: • Voice: • Point of View: • Sceptical: • (0) Comments: • (0) Trackbacks: • Permalink:

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